nofelt

« January 2006 | Main | December 2006 »

Links for 2006-04-29
Posted on April 29, 2006 | Permalink
India Is A Material Girl

In a recent issue, The Economist details India's growing retail economy. In India there exists approximately 15 million retail outlets and only 4% percent of those shops are larger than 500 sq ft. Additionally, organized retail in India is expected to grow by 18% -20% a year. Below is a choice quote from the article about India's economic growth overall:

The economy is one of the world's fastest growing, with GDP expanding at an average annual rate of about 7.5% for the past three years. A young population, declining dependency ratio and higher savings rate lead even the most sober economic forecasters to expect the growth rate to average 6% or so for the next few decades. The more sanguine think 8% can be sustained and even bettered.

Moreover, from the point of view of the retail trade, India's growth has an especially attractive feature: much of it comes from a surge in private spending. As Stephen Roach, an economist at Morgan Stanley, has pointed out, private consumption accounts for a big chunk of the Indian economy: 64%. That is more than in Europe (58%), Japan (55%) and, especially, China (42%). India's transition to a high-growth path, argues Mr Roach, "is very much an outgrowth of the emerging consumerism of one of the world's youngest populations."

- The Economist, Apr 12th 2006

Of course not everything is roses for India's retail industry. For larger, more structured retail stores, there are several logistic issues:electricity supply, reliable transportation paths and finding enough retail staff. Specific to staffing issue, there is a reluctance from Indians to accept jobs in retail and thus support non-local merchants.

Posted on April 17, 2006 | Permalink | Comments (5)